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mariawallet

mariawallet

0x798c52...e37ff6@Mariawallet1
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
77.4%
Total P&L
-$1.1K
Trade Count
420
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Sortino Ratio
0.13
Max Drawdown
1452.7%
ROI
-1.0%
Profit Factor
-0.31
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.3¢91.672Mar 5
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢91.74Mar 5
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢91.742Mar 2
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢91.25Mar 2
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.8¢91.253Feb 26
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢94.07Feb 25
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢94.076Feb 25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.9¢92.17Feb 25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢92.172Feb 24
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.1¢93.02Feb 24
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.2¢93.024Feb 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?SELL99.8¢91.53Feb 24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY99.9¢91.531Feb 23
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY99.7¢91.444Feb 9
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.2¢92.84Feb 9
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢92.848Feb 9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL98.0¢93.12Feb 9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY98.0¢93.122Jan 26
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.2¢92.79Jan 26
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.5¢92.792Jan 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%5%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%73%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.1%
Win Consistency65.5%
Profit Factor0.12
Drawdown Resilience0.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity420 trades · 66 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,49417d profit41d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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