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markyan

0xd2e397...350430
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
94.9%
Total P&L
+$124
Trade Count
140
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32
Sortino Ratio
-0.22
Max Drawdown
864.2%
ROI
1.7%
Profit Factor
2.51
Kelly Fraction
0.570
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 43.0 on March 6, 2026?BUY99.0¢55.1Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY87.0¢3.58Mar 4
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 6?BUY98.0¢22.2Mar 4
Will the US add between 125k and 150k jobs in February?BUY96.0¢58.3Mar 4
Will Nepali Congress win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY97.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY98.0¢35.5Mar 3
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest FC?BUY98.0¢81.3Mar 2
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 3 - 2 Brentford FC?BUY96.0¢20Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on March 4?BUY96.6¢80Mar 2
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?SELL99.2¢9.6Mar 2
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 ACF Fiorentina?BUY85.0¢9.011Mar 2
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 3 ACF Fiorentina?SELL97.0¢6.2Mar 2
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 1 - 3 ACF Fiorentina?BUY96.0¢62Mar 2
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?SELL97.8¢5Mar 2
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?BUY97.5¢29.9Mar 2
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 2 ACF Fiorentina?BUY95.0¢91.2Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 2?BUY97.0¢103.3Feb 28
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?BUY98.9¢96Feb 28
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY87.0¢5Feb 27
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?BUY97.0¢33.79Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%16%80–90%84%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%
Win Consistency64.3%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity140 trades · 70 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,1704d profit66d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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