MartinezEthan
0x7bdb7a...626b53
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
72.7%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
11
Sharpe Ratio
-1.78
Sortino Ratio
-1.67
Max Drawdown
499.0%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
7.61
Kelly Fraction
0.632
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.7/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | BUY | 95.9¢ | 2.085 | Mar 5 |
| Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | BUY | 88.0¢ | 2.273 | Mar 5 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245? | BUY | 99.7¢ | 2.006 | Mar 5 |
| WTT - Women's Singles: Sabine Winter vs Sally Moyland | BUY | 99.9¢ | 5.996 | Feb 23 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on February 23? | BUY | 98.0¢ | 5.102 | Feb 23 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 98.3¢ | 10.173 | Feb 23 |
| Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1) | BUY | 95.0¢ | 3.158 | Feb 23 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | BUY | 91.0¢ | 1.099 | Jan 30 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026? | BUY | 98.8¢ | 2.126 | Jan 30 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 93.0¢ | 1.075 | Jan 30 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | BUY | 96.6¢ | 2.07 | Jan 30 |
Analytics
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Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.7
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%
Win Consistency36.4%
Profit Factor0.41
Drawdown Resilience0.33
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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