maverickmoney

0xf40386...3e9ea2
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
45.2%
Total P&L
+$3.0K
Trade Count
186
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
0.49
Max Drawdown
163.1%
ROI
10.2%
Profit Factor
9.72
Kelly Fraction
0.406
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
49ers vs. EaglesBUY32.0¢215.625Jan 11
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY32.0¢28.125Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY28.5¢10.517Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY31.0¢29.032Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY31.0¢41.935Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY47.0¢57.447Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY42.0¢44.83Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY40.0¢47.5Jan 3
Seahawks vs. 49ersBUY39.0¢10Jan 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY55.0¢15.091Dec 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY22.0¢317.727Dec 17
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY98.2¢1.018Oct 28
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY11.5¢173.762Oct 28
49ers vs. TexansBUY46.0¢3.522Oct 26
US recession in 2025?SELL93.0¢58.25Oct 12
US recession in 2025?SELL95.0¢10.34Oct 10
US recession in 2025?SELL95.0¢5.35Oct 10
US recession in 2025?SELL95.0¢11.589Oct 10
US recession in 2025?SELL95.0¢169.36Oct 10
US recession in 2025?SELL95.0¢1.053Oct 10
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%7%10–20%3%20–30%14%30–50%19%50–70%17%70–80%20%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.0%
Win Consistency52.3%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity186 trades · 57 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$2,70522d profit35d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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