messialexzender

0xeaa094...45b6fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.0%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

1.93

Max Drawdown

136.3%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

2.51

Kelly Fraction

0.271

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	136.409	Mar 5
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.5¢	124.49	Mar 5
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.6¢	124.498	Mar 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	131.13	Mar 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	131.131	Mar 4
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	BUY	43.0¢	53.953	Mar 3
Thunder vs. Bulls	BUY	21.0¢	38.095	Mar 3
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	101.1	Mar 3
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	101.101	Mar 3
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	110.22	Mar 2
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	110.22	Mar 2
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.6¢	101.3	Mar 1
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.7¢	101.304	Mar 1
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	SELL	99.8¢	113.11	Mar 1
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	BUY	99.9¢	113.113	Mar 1
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	80.645	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.7¢	24.072	Feb 28
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	123.12	Feb 27
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	123.123	Feb 27
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.6¢	115.34	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency39.1%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity43 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$3006d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue