Micheal1

0x93f630...b04d7e@lltcp19746669

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.9%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.78

Sortino Ratio

-1.24

Max Drawdown

1269.2%

ROI

6.7%

Profit Factor

3.35

Kelly Fraction

0.554

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7?	BUY	99.5¢	300	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?	SELL	99.9¢	2,069.28	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	2,069.288	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	2,063.083	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	20.202	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	2,002.002	Mar 2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.8¢	601.202	Feb 23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?	BUY	99.6¢	100.401	Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23?	BUY	95.2¢	210.113	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 23?	SELL	99.9¢	146.43	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 23?	SELL	99.9¢	836.27	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 23?	BUY	98.9¢	836.279	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 23?	BUY	99.7¢	146.439	Feb 22
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.6¢	46.512	Feb 22
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?	BUY	99.6¢	486.948	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21?	BUY	39.5¢	25.297	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	500.5	Feb 21
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	531.915	Feb 21
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)	BUY	48.0¢	2,011.583	Feb 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	SELL	95.0¢	16	Feb 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.2%

Win Consistency52.6%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity55 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,8532d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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