mina8888

0x8796ad...0fb2d7

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.6%

Total P&L

-$59

Trade Count

119

Sharpe Ratio

0.53

Sortino Ratio

5.66

Max Drawdown

50.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.78

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	53.98	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	4,484.59	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	24.691	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	17.98	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	188.48	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.6¢	2,000	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	69.7¢	287.143	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	23.51	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	74.817	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	5.263	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	25	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	1,051.579	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	111.11	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	95.0¢	277.442	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	94.0¢	1,568.74	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.7¢	200	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	2,000	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	15.0¢	100	Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	14.0¢	10	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.8%

Win Consistency60.9%

Profit Factor1.28

Drawdown Resilience1.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.79

Trading Activity118 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,1995d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue