mm-15m-active

0xa11e7a...d71b2d

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.2%

Total P&L

+$26

Trade Count

516

Sharpe Ratio

0.98

Sortino Ratio

1.52

Max Drawdown

298.1%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.021

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	48.8¢	16	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	61.0¢	2.03	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	61.0¢	1.89	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	61.0¢	5.128	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	61.0¢	3.949	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	BUY	62.0¢	4.17	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	BUY	62.0¢	8.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	60.0¢	9.11	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	60.0¢	3.883	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	38.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	7.71	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 3?	BUY	37.0¢	21	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	BUY	57.0¢	1.66	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	BUY	57.0¢	7.674	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	BUY	57.0¢	2.326	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	BUY	57.0¢	2.326	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	39.0¢	12	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?	BUY	9.0¢	16	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	63.0¢	7	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.1%

Win Consistency67.6%

Profit Factor0.49

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.30

Trading Activity516 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,5495d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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