Moonshot1019

0x9c987f...05f4f4

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.8%

Total P&L

-$14.2K

Trade Count

390

Sharpe Ratio

-0.85

Sortino Ratio

-1.19

Max Drawdown

149.7%

ROI

-8.6%

Profit Factor

0.51

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	SELL	10.2¢	2,664.16	Mar 5
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	SELL	9.6¢	760.12	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.7¢	3,000	Mar 5
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?	SELL	5.1¢	2,820.45	Feb 28
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	SELL	10.5¢	1,206.54	Feb 26
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?	SELL	11.5¢	841.31	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	2,500	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	1,000	Feb 19
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	BUY	39.0¢	732	Feb 19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	77.0¢	5,691.21	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	52.0¢	1,000	Feb 19
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	51.9¢	1,807.11	Feb 19
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	123.03	Feb 19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	1,200	Feb 19
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	940.45	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	4.545	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	5	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	79.0¢	2,387.36	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	50	Feb 18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	526	Feb 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.9%

Win Consistency60.0%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity390 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$134,8484d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue