more-pasta-less-drama

0xacc0ea...7d3748

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.6%

Total P&L

+$369

Trade Count

3,983

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

7.36

Max Drawdown

14638.4%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

1.19

Kelly Fraction

0.080

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	1.0¢	9.98	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	SELL	52.0¢	39.77	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	33.0¢	30.303	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BUY	54.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	BUY	36.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	67.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	44.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	BUY	40.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	38.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	BUY	40.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	64.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	SELL	42.2¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?	SELL	38.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	SELL	35.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	SELL	36.0¢	10	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	SELL	38.0¢	47.55	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	39.0¢	25.641	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	44.2¢	22.616	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	SELL	13.0¢	19.95	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%

Win Consistency58.4%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity3,983 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,9021d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue