MrMelonHead

0x9f66aa...4f3a50

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.3%

Total P&L

-$2.8K

Trade Count

3,805

Sharpe Ratio

0.00

Sortino Ratio

0.01

Max Drawdown

2441.6%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?	SELL	97.0¢	51.34	Mar 5
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?	BUY	87.0¢	83.172	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	55.667	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.2¢	80.41	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.7¢	166.366	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	82.6¢	134.37	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	87.7¢	47.955	Mar 4
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?	BUY	89.6¢	55.811	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	SELL	52.0¢	177	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	97.621	Mar 4
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	92.32	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	268.793	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.3¢	150.28	Mar 4
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	91.0¢	52.83	Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?	SELL	92.2¢	47.83	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	86.1¢	42.166	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	99.0¢	36.66	Mar 4
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	26.729	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	15.152	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	13.333	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.3%

Win Consistency55.3%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity3,805 trades · 112 active days

P&L Calendar

$20,43318d profit79d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue