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MTemp

0x968244...e8710f
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
95.2%
Total P&L
+$347
Trade Count
468
Sharpe Ratio
0.27
Sortino Ratio
2.09
Max Drawdown
3294.4%
ROI
0.8%
Profit Factor
2.19
Kelly Fraction
0.517
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?SELL0.3¢90.9Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY99.7¢16Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY99.7¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY1.1¢90.909Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY97.9¢56.18Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢11.62Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY99.6¢15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY99.5¢24.04Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY99.5¢20.22Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?BUY99.4¢135.667Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢19.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY98.9¢54.243Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 4?BUY99.6¢100.449Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL36.1¢425.4Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY97.2¢425.406Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 4?BUY97.9¢269.183Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?SELL99.9¢263.79Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 3?BUY99.0¢144.343Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 3?SELL99.9¢143.05Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 3?BUY97.7¢143.059Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.6%
Win Consistency32.4%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity468 trades · 28 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,7754d profit20d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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