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Murphyqq1

0x3c3296...0f4708
Smart Score
24
Win Rate
56.8%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
264
Sharpe Ratio
1.39
Sortino Ratio
4.49
Max Drawdown
2071.3%
ROI
-0.6%
Profit Factor
0.96
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
023.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY87.0¢1.149Mar 5
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?BUY83.0¢1.205Mar 5
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY89.0¢1.124Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY79.0¢1.266Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on March 5?BUY98.4¢1.016Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on March 6?BUY99.5¢1.005Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 4?BUY99.0¢1.01Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?BUY70.0¢1.429Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?BUY88.0¢1.136Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6?BUY94.0¢1.064Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 6?BUY98.0¢1.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 6?BUY98.0¢1.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?BUY79.0¢1.266Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY81.0¢1.235Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 6?BUY75.0¢1.333Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 6?BUY11.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY76.0¢1.316Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 50°F or higher on March 4?SELL78.0¢1.16Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢1.011Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%9%10–20%13%20–30%15%30–50%20%50–70%17%70–80%13%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.6%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor0.62
Drawdown Resilience0.50
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50
Weekly Sharpe est.0.38
Trading Activity264 trades · 23 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1144d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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