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MyParrotPolie

0x7719c2...75335f
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
-$16
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
1.60
Sortino Ratio
104.09
Max Drawdown
757.9%
ROI
-8.0%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?BUY43.0¢9.3Mar 5
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY59.0¢6.77Mar 5
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?SELL55.0¢5.88Mar 5
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?SELL33.0¢2.25Mar 4
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?SELL36.0¢7.5Mar 4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?SELL43.0¢7.69Mar 4
Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?BUY41.0¢9.75Mar 4
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?BUY52.0¢7.69Mar 4
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by March 31?BUY37.0¢10.81Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?BUY56.0¢7.14Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL62.0¢4.14Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL62.0¢2.258Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL62.0¢2.097Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL62.0¢1.935Mar 4
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?SELL59.0¢7.89Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL86.0¢6.57Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY85.0¢24.529Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY81.0¢4.938Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?BUY50.0¢8Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 3% on any day in Q1?BUY26.0¢11.538Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10%10–20%20–30%33%30–50%38%50–70%5%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%
Win Consistency31.4%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity59 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$810d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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