Nalysis

0xbf76a9...262b06

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.44

Sortino Ratio

0.35

Max Drawdown

2.2%

ROI

-21.1%

Profit Factor

0.37

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	3.634	Mar 5
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.6¢	166.66	Feb 14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	85.8¢	3.497	Feb 14
76ers vs. Warriors	BUY	57.0¢	5.263	Feb 3
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	80.0¢	9.338	Jan 27
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	BUY	82.0¢	13.476	Dec 20
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	37.4¢	26.845	Nov 5

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency71.4%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity7 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$271d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue