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nashen

0xefabdd...f3b927@NashenOPP
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
52.3%
Total P&L
+$6.6K
Trade Count
994
Sharpe Ratio
0.90
Sortino Ratio
3.55
Max Drawdown
126.8%
ROI
8.8%
Profit Factor
3.39
Kelly Fraction
0.368
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL41.0¢250Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢254.26Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢58.78Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY77.0¢86.957Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY73.3¢500Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY41.0¢224.88Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY41.0¢25.12Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL27.0¢800Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?BUY75.0¢100Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY68.0¢194.71Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY68.0¢15.625Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY68.0¢9.67Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?SELL10.0¢500Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY68.0¢9.031Mar 3
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY68.0¢20.95Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY61.0¢250Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY43.0¢100Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY44.0¢300Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY9.0¢200Mar 3
Will Trump say "Percent" 7+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz?SELL48.0¢71.34Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%8%10–20%6%20–30%12%30–50%19%50–70%6%70–80%9%80–90%9%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.4%
Win Consistency52.6%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity994 trades · 44 active days
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P&L Calendar
$12,04917d profit27d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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