Nelsi

0x923089...bccd99

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.1%

Total P&L

-$232

Trade Count

431

Sharpe Ratio

0.56

Sortino Ratio

11.46

Max Drawdown

608.2%

ROI

-16.2%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 21?	BUY	2.6¢	1.83	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 21?	BUY	2.6¢	7.105	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 21?	BUY	2.6¢	80.79	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 21?	BUY	2.6¢	10.267	Feb 21
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)	BUY	30.0¢	100	Dec 14
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?	BUY	37.0¢	16.07	Dec 13
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 13?	BUY	37.0¢	33.93	Dec 13
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on December 13?	BUY	3.5¢	500	Dec 13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 57-58°F on December 12?	BUY	5.0¢	2.63	Dec 12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 31-32°F on December 12?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Dec 12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 57-58°F on December 12?	BUY	5.0¢	97.368	Dec 12
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 12?	BUY	23.0¢	100	Dec 12
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)	BUY	29.0¢	100	Dec 11
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?	BUY	2.5¢	18.9	Dec 10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?	BUY	2.5¢	10	Dec 10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?	BUY	2.5¢	115.275	Dec 10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on December 10?	BUY	2.5¢	55.818	Dec 10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on December 9?	BUY	3.4¢	4.94	Dec 9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on December 9?	BUY	3.4¢	195.06	Dec 9
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)	BUY	31.0¢	100	Dec 9

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency38.6%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity431 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$5415d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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