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Nerissa0naik

0xacfc15...851c11
Smart Score
31
Win Rate
54.5%
Total P&L
+$12
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51
Sortino Ratio
-0.20
Max Drawdown
22.2%
ROI
9.1%
Profit Factor
1.49
Kelly Fraction
0.180
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢8.01Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢8.012Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETBUY50.0¢5Jan 26
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.5¢2,739Jan 17
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.6¢2,739Jan 15
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 27
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 27
Solana Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢10Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢2Nov 24
Solana Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY50.0¢10Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY50.0¢10Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY50.0¢6Nov 5
XRP Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY50.0¢6Nov 5
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETBUY50.0¢6Nov 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%88%50–70%70–80%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.3%
Win Consistency0.0%
Profit Factor0.81
Drawdown Resilience0.65
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.65
Weekly Sharpe est.0.50
Trading Activity28 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$761d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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