nestandnote

0xbce039...3444dc

Smart Score

Win Rate

97.2%

Total P&L

-$20

Trade Count

149

Sharpe Ratio

-0.65

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

221158.0%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.91

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $250?	BUY	96.9¢	59.2	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	85.9¢	7.29	Mar 4
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 4?	BUY	98.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	95.9¢	72.9	Mar 4
Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 3 - 3 Crystal Palace FC?	BUY	98.0¢	72.5	Mar 3
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	85.0¢	3	Mar 2
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	85.0¢	2	Mar 2
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?	BUY	95.0¢	20	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 2?	BUY	95.0¢	11	Mar 1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1?	BUY	97.0¢	56.9	Feb 28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 28?	SELL	96.1¢	6.59	Feb 27
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 28?	BUY	95.8¢	65.9	Feb 27
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BUY	85.0¢	5	Feb 27
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 27?	BUY	97.9¢	64.3	Feb 27
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?	BUY	95.0¢	14.7	Feb 27
Will Meta (META) close above $670 on February 27?	BUY	94.0¢	86.9	Feb 27
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1?	BUY	97.0¢	61.9	Feb 26
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?	BUY	84.6¢	5	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on February 24?	BUY	97.9¢	42.9	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 24?	BUY	96.9¢	48.8	Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.4%

Win Consistency45.3%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity149 trades · 79 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,9743d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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