NightHarbor

0x9255f7...df697a

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.4%

Total P&L

+$530

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.05

Sortino Ratio

1004.51

Max Drawdown

1584.0%

ROI

2.4%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.087

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	97.4¢	368.267	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	25.5¢	782.42	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	40.2¢	397.06	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	79.2¢	397.061	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	97.1¢	323.92	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	39.9¢	782.43	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	96.5¢	323.91	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	0.3¢	606.667	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	90.9¢	1	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	90.9¢	1	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "State of the Union" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	0.1¢	1,860	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	SELL	93.2¢	2	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	95.9¢	537.322	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?	BUY	93.9¢	114.515	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	52.0¢	1,197.95	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.5¢	834.321	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	363.636	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	BUY	57.0¢	175.456	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	BUY	3.3¢	3,038.63	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	BUY	61.2¢	817.446	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.1%

Win Consistency31.6%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity91 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,9320d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue