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nineisbagel

0x11734a...774dbf
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
30.0%
Total P&L
+$319
Trade Count
739
Sharpe Ratio
0.68
Sortino Ratio
20.24
Max Drawdown
2582.0%
ROI
7.2%
Profit Factor
1.55
Kelly Fraction
0.107
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY42.0¢9.524Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?BUY61.0¢4.918Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY18.0¢5.556Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY9.0¢11.111Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?SELL98.0¢5.85Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?BUY23.0¢5.85Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?BUY58.0¢8.621Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL98.2¢9.57Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?BUY57.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY62.6¢9.579Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL47.2¢5.81Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY53.6¢1.866Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY50.7¢3.945Mar 4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?BUY49.0¢2.041Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL8.3¢2.05Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY48.6¢2.058Mar 1
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?SELL7.0¢14.08Mar 1
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?BUY7.1¢14.085Mar 1
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY82.0¢1.22Mar 1
Solana Up or Down - March 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY50.0¢4Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%13%10–20%15%20–30%21%30–50%24%50–70%5%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%
Win Consistency38.8%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity739 trades · 26 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9084d profit21d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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