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Nocturnelle

Nocturnelle

0x3b23f9...fa6903
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
45.5%
Total P&L
+$8.9K
Trade Count
3,998
Sharpe Ratio
0.81
Sortino Ratio
32.31
Max Drawdown
85.7%
ROI
23.2%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.112
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETBUY49.9¢2.004Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY52.0¢1.923Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY50.0¢2Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY51.0¢1.961Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%88%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%
Win Consistency11.0%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity3,998 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$16,6343d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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