nolix

0x84e984...3a67ff

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.0%

Total P&L

-$27

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.88

Max Drawdown

55.8%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.28

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	1.3¢	800	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	SELL	99.7¢	700	Feb 17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	700	Feb 17
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	3.1¢	600	Feb 14
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	3.1¢	600	Feb 14
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.5¢	600	Feb 7
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.6¢	600	Feb 7
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	800	Feb 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	800	Feb 5
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	0.1¢	600	Feb 3
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.2¢	600	Feb 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.9¢	400	Jan 31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	98.3¢	400	Jan 31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	3.4¢	1,200	Jan 29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.5¢	1,200	Jan 29
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	1.7¢	1,000	Jan 27
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.0¢	1,000	Jan 27
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	SELL	0.2¢	600	Jan 24
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?	BUY	0.3¢	600	Jan 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.4%

Win Consistency23.5%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity68 trades · 42 active days

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue