NoNeedToBeUpset

0x2432a0...36ae39

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.2%

Total P&L

-$3.0K

Trade Count

208

Sharpe Ratio

-0.12

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Max Drawdown

594.3%

ROI

-7.9%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	51.3¢	974.796	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?	SELL	3.5¢	143.82	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?	SELL	7.0¢	76.92	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	7.1¢	181.81	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?	SELL	4.7¢	143.81	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?	BUY	13.0¢	76.923	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?	BUY	7.0¢	287.634	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 7?	BUY	4.9¢	102.041	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 7?	SELL	4.0¢	183.2	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6?	SELL	8.0¢	187.5	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 5?	SELL	13.0¢	153.84	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?	SELL	6.0¢	138.33	Mar 1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	7.7¢	390.909	Mar 1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	7.4¢	461.53	Mar 1
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	12.0¢	250	Mar 1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	12.8¢	234.375	Mar 1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	6.5¢	461.538	Mar 1
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.3¢	1,538.462	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	18.0¢	27.778	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?	BUY	9.0¢	55.556	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.9%

Win Consistency31.0%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity166 trades · 50 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,09814d profit36d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue