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Noob-Noob

Noob-Noob

0x977fcc...d431a1
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
18.8%
Total P&L
-$37
Trade Count
365
Sharpe Ratio
1.37
Sortino Ratio
154.24
Max Drawdown
126.1%
ROI
-2.1%
Profit Factor
0.79
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL5.0¢10.58Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY4.7¢42.349Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?SELL18.0¢22.22Mar 5
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?BUY0.4¢231.224Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 6?BUY0.6¢164.855Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?SELL1.0¢1,000Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY33.0¢15.152Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY2.2¢45.129Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?BUY2.9¢104.283Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?BUY0.5¢1,000Mar 4
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?BUY0.7¢734.221Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?BUY5.6¢36.03Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY9.0¢22.222Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?SELL1.2¢333.33Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY0.7¢287.578Mar 4
Will "Man I Need - Olivia Dean" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?BUY0.7¢134.648Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?BUY0.6¢333.333Mar 3
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY0.8¢131.94Mar 3
Will Great Britain win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.3¢712.88Mar 3
Will Brazil win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%50%< 10%12%10–20%18%20–30%8%30–50%3%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%
Win Consistency66.0%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity365 trades · 20 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1175d profit15d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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