Octavian1t

0xe6f6e4...c982ec

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.4%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.22

Sortino Ratio

-1.10

Max Drawdown

196.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.061

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	35.015	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.5¢	28.11	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.8¢	16.012	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	19.989	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	20.01	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Feb 24
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. McNeese State Cowboys	BUY	92.0¢	3.228	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	19.989	Feb 21
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers	BUY	99.8¢	3.988	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 21?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	15.01	Feb 19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	24.994	Feb 18
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	98.7¢	5.046	Feb 18
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?	BUY	95.0¢	3.126	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Feb 17
Howard Bison vs. Delaware State Hornets	BUY	99.8¢	10	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	10.06	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	20.03	Feb 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.6%

Win Consistency31.1%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity59 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$6691d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue