Oleg.Kyiv.UA

0xcd85e1...6ae5b5

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.6%

Total P&L

+$226

Trade Count

3,747

Sharpe Ratio

1.46

Sortino Ratio

6.73

Max Drawdown

49.6%

ROI

1.4%

Profit Factor

3.26

Kelly Fraction

0.330

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	1.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	99.0¢	21	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	1.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	1.0¢	4.8	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	99.0¢	14	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	1.0¢	2.2	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	38.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	SELL	0.5¢	14	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	99.5¢	7	Mar 5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	30.0¢	0.5	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.5%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor1.53

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Trading Activity3,747 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1747d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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