OrsonElliott

0x5cea7a...8b6372

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.8%

Total P&L

-$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.26

Sortino Ratio

-1.01

Max Drawdown

387.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.65

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,311.053	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.9¢	480.11	Mar 5
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	480.111	Feb 9
XRP Up or Down - February 8, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	13	Feb 7
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	470.72	Feb 7
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	470.72	Feb 5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 11PM ET	BUY	50.0¢	14.74	Feb 4
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	0.1¢	6,435.35	Feb 4
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	0.2¢	6,435.35	Feb 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	13.04	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	482.83	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	482.835	Feb 2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	13	Feb 1
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.7¢	486.45	Feb 1
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.9¢	486.456	Jan 31
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	19.95	Jan 30
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	433.43	Jan 30
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	433.433	Jan 29
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	20.51	Jan 29

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency23.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity19 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1084d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue