oscarfour

0x6741c3...2a0179

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.1%

Total P&L

-$96

Trade Count

519

Sharpe Ratio

-0.37

Sortino Ratio

-2.75

Max Drawdown

1838.6%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.9¢	10	Mar 5
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be 2,800,000 voters or greater?	SELL	99.8¢	7	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	60.0¢	10	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	85.0¢	10	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	21.7¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	64.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	74.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	41.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	16.5¢	10	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	10	Mar 3
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	BUY	55.0¢	10	Mar 2
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	BUY	65.0¢	5.2	Mar 1
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	57.0¢	10	Mar 1
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	BUY	57.0¢	5	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	SELL	0.9¢	270.42	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	SELL	1.3¢	486.99	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	SELL	1.2¢	255.41	Mar 1
Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2?	SELL	1.2¢	15	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%

Win Consistency17.8%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity519 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,6975d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue