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OutOnBail

OutOnBail

0xf1be3e...dc3a18
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
51.1%
Total P&L
-$554
Trade Count
3,999
Sharpe Ratio
1.87
Sortino Ratio
8.72
Max Drawdown
22.6%
ROI
-3.8%
Profit Factor
0.90
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY53.9¢1.855Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL81.0¢1.38Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY72.0¢1.389Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL27.0¢3.68Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY26.9¢3.717Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSELL75.0¢2Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL87.0¢3.3Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY52.0¢1.923Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY70.0¢1.429Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY14.0¢7.143Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY14.0¢7.143Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY19.9¢5.025Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY17.9¢5.58Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY19.0¢5.263Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY21.9¢4.566Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY25.0¢4Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY26.9¢3.717Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY27.9¢3.582Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY31.9¢3.135Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%3%< 10%7%10–20%13%20–30%41%30–50%32%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.0%
Win Consistency60.2%
Profit Factor1.37
Drawdown Resilience1.11
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11
Weekly Sharpe est.0.84
Trading Activity3,999 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6631d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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