p1p1caca

0x989a18...c1b73f

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.2%

Total P&L

-$168

Trade Count

636

Sharpe Ratio

0.97

Sortino Ratio

45.80

Max Drawdown

9369.3%

ROI

-1.3%

Profit Factor

0.72

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?	BUY	98.0¢	304.776	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	20.3	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	21.26	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	21.62	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	82.0¢	198.31	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	82.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	76.3¢	98.04	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	37	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	69.0¢	12	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	67.0¢	13.09	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	55.0¢	18.182	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	92.5¢	21.622	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?	BUY	98.5¢	20.306	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on March 4?	BUY	94.0¢	21.268	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	274.08	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	BUY	88.6¢	274.083	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 4?	SELL	14.3¢	516.37	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.7%

Win Consistency44.2%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity636 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,2431d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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