Paigeberge

0x55c3ec...578e3e
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
91.7%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
27
Sharpe Ratio
-2.37
Sortino Ratio
-1.34
Max Drawdown
281.1%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
125.33
Kelly Fraction
0.909
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
030/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 6?BUY99.9¢1.48Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.49Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.3¢1.32Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 6?BUY99.7¢1.3Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.19Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.38Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?BUY99.2¢1.12Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?BUY99.7¢1.13Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.4Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on March 3?BUY99.6¢1.19Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?BUY99.5¢1.37Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢1.23Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?BUY99.1¢1.34Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.45Mar 2
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 February 23-March 1?BUY99.6¢1.49Feb 27
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?BUY99.9¢1.28Feb 27
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?BUY99.6¢1.2Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1?BUY99.7¢1.29Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 1?BUY99.6¢1.49Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?BUY98.8¢1.58Feb 24
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%
Win Consistency62.5%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity27 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$380d profit4d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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