Patricrk

0x2684d4...9d2828

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.1%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

156

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

162.4%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.60

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	31.245	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	31.18	Mar 5
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.9¢	31.181	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	31.18	Mar 4
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	31.181	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.9¢	31.19	Feb 28
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	31.191	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.6¢	31.28	Feb 27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.8¢	31.283	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	31.28	Feb 26
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	31.281	Feb 25
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	31.32	Feb 24
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	31.321	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	SELL	99.8¢	31.35	Feb 22
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	31.351	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	SELL	99.6¢	31.44	Feb 21
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	31.443	Feb 20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.2¢	31.64	Feb 20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	31.641	Feb 19
Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?	SELL	96.9¢	32.42	Feb 19

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.6%

Win Consistency78.4%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity156 trades · 85 active days

P&L Calendar

$14220d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue