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PizOfCake

0xf8ac55...41249d
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
38.9%
Total P&L
+$9
Trade Count
91
Sharpe Ratio
1.60
Sortino Ratio
5.31
Max Drawdown
61.4%
ROI
2.7%
Profit Factor
1.20
Kelly Fraction
0.066
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL70.0¢2.41Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL70.0¢2.586Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETSELL50.1¢2.5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY55.0¢10Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY10.9¢9.174Mar 4
Trump out as President before 2027?SELL18.0¢12Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSELL38.0¢13.95Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY23.0¢23.35Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY23.0¢0.45Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY48.0¢4.167Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL99.0¢1.11Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL94.0¢1.1Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL73.0¢2.2Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL79.1¢4.54Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL63.0¢8.94Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY55.1¢9.079Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY55.0¢9.091Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSELL59.1¢0.48Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY50.9¢1.965Mar 2
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?BUY3.5¢28.378Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%22%10–20%16%20–30%27%30–50%22%50–70%7%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.2%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor1.32
Drawdown Resilience1.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.81
Trading Activity91 trades · 11 active days
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P&L Calendar
$184d profit7d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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