player168

0x4debac...a54f9d

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.1%

Total P&L

-$34

Trade Count

280

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

10.81

Max Drawdown

744.4%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.73

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.0¢	307.692	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	64.5¢	155.039	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	78.2¢	6.25	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	2.667	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	19.23	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	51.57	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	77.3¢	25.77	Mar 2
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	SELL	87.0¢	22.72	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	49.5¢	40.404	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	19.231	Feb 28
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	88.0¢	11.364	Feb 28
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	88.0¢	11.364	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	77.6¢	25.77	Feb 28
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets	BUY	74.0¢	6.757	Feb 28
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets	BUY	74.0¢	6.757	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	89.5¢	5.587	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	89.5¢	5.587	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	SELL	49.0¢	7.59	Jan 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BUY	65.0¢	7.692	Jan 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.8%

Win Consistency34.9%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity280 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$4653d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue