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polikz

0x8d1a93...a2b029
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
23.5%
Total P&L
-$15
Trade Count
100
Sharpe Ratio
2.90
Sortino Ratio
26.73
Max Drawdown
281.3%
ROI
-12.0%
Profit Factor
0.17
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢7.83Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.4¢8.64Mar 5
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5¢300Mar 4
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.5¢86.21Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5¢300Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5¢306Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.2¢0.14Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.2¢0.41Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY26.0¢5.769Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY81.8¢1.834Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.705Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.2¢13.6Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY28.0¢5.357Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.705Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY81.7¢1.836Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.705Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY28.0¢5.357Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?BUY81.8¢1.834Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY14.0¢10.714Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.705Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%10%10–20%5%20–30%7%30–50%50–70%4%70–80%32%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.9%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.28
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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