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PolLus

0xc777e7...edaabe
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
74.5%
Total P&L
+$172
Trade Count
102
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
0.82
Max Drawdown
14078.6%
ROI
2.3%
Profit Factor
1.53
Kelly Fraction
0.257
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY78.0¢25.641Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY91.0¢32.967Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY99.2¢20Dec 30
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)BUY99.8¢11Dec 21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?SELL99.9¢16Dec 21
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?BUY98.6¢20Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?BUY98.7¢17Dec 18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?BUY95.6¢16Dec 13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?BUY99.5¢15Dec 10
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY53.0¢9.434Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY51.0¢70.588Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY26.8¢55.889Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY56.0¢5Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY51.0¢92.157Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY50.0¢50Dec 7
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY52.0¢76.923Dec 6
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY50.0¢72Dec 6
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY23.9¢54.375Dec 6
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETBUY51.0¢78.431Dec 6
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY52.7¢75.943Dec 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%5%30–50%32%50–70%6%70–80%5%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.1%
Win Consistency33.9%
Profit Factor0.49
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity102 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8747d profit21d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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