polunder

0x83b7e6...60be96

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.3%

Total P&L

-$125

Trade Count

315

Sharpe Ratio

2.16

Sortino Ratio

4.02

Max Drawdown

11175.0%

ROI

-2.7%

Profit Factor

0.72

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	61.97	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	1	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	16.0¢	78.78	Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	22.11	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	6.667	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	15.556	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	31.0¢	35.02	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	31.0¢	14.493	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	31.0¢	14.493	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	31.0¢	14.783	Mar 4
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	39.11	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	67.91	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	20.35	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	42.623	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	78.0¢	23.77	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	63.0¢	37.34	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	63.0¢	1.75	Mar 4
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	40.0¢	16.67	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	50.5	Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	1.887	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.4%

Win Consistency49.5%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity315 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$7161d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue