prawdziwy

0xcf5c9b...6a3912

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.7%

Total P&L

+$1.5K

Trade Count

3,950

Sharpe Ratio

0.20

Sortino Ratio

0.47

Max Drawdown

73.0%

ROI

3.1%

Profit Factor

1.59

Kelly Fraction

0.199

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	SELL	0.2¢	27.5	Mar 5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	BUY	45.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	BUY	73.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	196.26	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	3.74	Mar 4
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	BUY	53.0¢	1	Mar 3
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	BUY	70.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	2.143	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	42.0¢	151.44	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	29.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	6.2	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	44.0¢	118.968	Mar 3
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?	BUY	36.0¢	7	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	28.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	25.0¢	96.34	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	21.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	14.0¢	8.43	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	18.0¢	200	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	26.0¢	200	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.2%

Win Consistency53.5%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity2,536 trades · 285 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,159122d profit163d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue