pyronineincapsuhv

0x8f6c9c...6518fb
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
27.3%
Total P&L
+$69
Trade Count
25
Sharpe Ratio
-0.71
Sortino Ratio
-1.09
Max Drawdown
160.0%
ROI
11.4%
Profit Factor
69.51
Kelly Fraction
0.269
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Jazz vs. WizardsBUY55.0¢62Mar 5
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢118.78Oct 18
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢1.211Oct 18
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢70Oct 7
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.1¢120Oct 4
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢12.14Sep 5
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢22.052Sep 5
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢20.05Sep 5
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢19.569Sep 5
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢23.333Sep 5
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch?BUY0.1¢6.839Sep 5
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢51.92Sep 1
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢14.08Sep 1
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL0.1¢60Aug 29
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?SELL0.1¢45Aug 29
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?SELL0.1¢65Aug 29
Will a candidate from another party win Hawaii Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢65Aug 17
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY0.2¢60Aug 11
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?SELL99.8¢94.6Aug 8
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?BUY99.9¢94.604Aug 8
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%79%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.0%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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