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0x89687c...94c3c1

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.4%

Total P&L

+$140

Trade Count

3,186

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

1.23

Max Drawdown

489.0%

ROI

2.8%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.070

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	39.6¢	2.525	Mar 5
Anduril IPO before 2027?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)	BUY	64.0¢	1.563	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Janice Tjen	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Janice Tjen	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Janice Tjen	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 4
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Janice Tjen	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Mar 4
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 4
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	67.0¢	1.493	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	69.0¢	1.449	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%

Win Consistency38.0%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.29

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity3,186 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,8840d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue