RafaelFx

0x6c909a...9d65e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.4%

Total P&L

-$84

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.66

Sortino Ratio

19.25

Max Drawdown

734.8%

ROI

-38.4%

Profit Factor

0.07

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	46.0¢	6.522	Mar 5
BNP Paribas Open: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca	BUY	52.0¢	1.962	Mar 5
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon	BUY	63.0¢	4.762	Mar 3
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Mar 2
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	85.0¢	3.529	Mar 2
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	8.6¢	134.186	Mar 2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	11.5¢	43.478	Mar 2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	14.9¢	33.557	Mar 2
Will Hillary's remarks not air?	BUY	1.9¢	51.554	Mar 2
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	3.3¢	30.294	Mar 2
Will Hillary say "Victim" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 2
Will Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.3¢	76.923	Mar 2
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	11.5¢	17.391	Mar 2
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	15.0¢	13.333	Mar 2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	8.6¢	23.256	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	1.887	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	37.0¢	5.405	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	BUY	11.9¢	8.403	Mar 2
Brasilia: Gustavo Heide vs Daniel Galan	BUY	65.0¢	1.538	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.5%

Win Consistency22.7%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity57 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1651d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue