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Randolph1SFGHRTH

0x81f2b6...b857e2
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
59.1%
Total P&L
+$25
Trade Count
36
Sharpe Ratio
-1.00
Sortino Ratio
-0.51
Max Drawdown
22.2%
ROI
18.6%
Profit Factor
1.90
Kelly Fraction
0.280
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢5.4Mar 5
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢5.409Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY50.0¢7Jan 25
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.5¢2,394Jan 19
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.6¢2,394Jan 17
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 26
Solana Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY50.0¢3Nov 26
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY50.0¢6Nov 26
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY50.0¢4.8Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY50.0¢1.2Nov 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY50.0¢4Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 24
XRP Up or Down - November 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 24
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETBUY50.0¢10Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 18
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY50.0¢1Nov 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY50.0¢6.43Nov 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%91%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.1%
Win Consistency4.3%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity36 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$911d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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