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RandomAssGuy

0x63b14a...0eafc2
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
60.0%
Total P&L
+$529
Trade Count
22
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32
Sortino Ratio
-0.42
Max Drawdown
106.7%
ROI
34.3%
Profit Factor
29.90
Kelly Fraction
0.580
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY50.2¢19.912Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY49.6¢40.322Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY22.8¢219.088Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL4.6¢173.51Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY5.8¢173.514Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY46.6¢107.318Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY27.0¢55.556Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY30.0¢50Mar 4
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY6.0¢167.249Mar 4
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?BUY78.0¢64.103Mar 1
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY82.0¢121.951Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY59.0¢196.61Mar 1
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY7.2¢1,385.583Feb 26
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL31.0¢32.25Feb 26
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY6.6¢756.361Feb 26
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY31.0¢32.258Feb 26
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY7.0¢142.857Feb 26
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY6.2¢1,610.217Feb 26
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?SELL99.9¢608.07Feb 26
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?BUY0.2¢500Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%37%< 10%10–20%11%20–30%32%30–50%11%50–70%5%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.1%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.76
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.76
Weekly Sharpe est.0.58
Trading Activity22 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2921d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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