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Raphovitch

0x1db333...ecd49b
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
27.3%
Total P&L
+$319
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
-3.59
Sortino Ratio
-4.18
Max Drawdown
1504.5%
ROI
8.8%
Profit Factor
1.55
Kelly Fraction
0.097
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY1.9¢523.4Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY10.6¢94.707Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY33.3¢30.03Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY2.0¢767.426Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.3¢81.301Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY69.8¢143.3Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?SELL66.0¢166.66Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY60.0¢166.667Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL71.1¢379.44Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY83.8¢119.332Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY76.9¢130.039Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY76.9¢130.078Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL99.8¢366.83Mar 1
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?SELL97.9¢1.31Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY93.3¢107.181Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL63.0¢113.63Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY91.8¢108.932Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL56.7¢88.51Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY22.0¢4.545Feb 28
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY83.9¢119.188Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%11%10–20%8%20–30%14%30–50%8%50–70%8%70–80%11%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.9%
Win Consistency12.5%
Profit Factor0.08
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity46 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5333d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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