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Raymond.Hawking

Raymond.Hawking

0x7a1bbd...aa1c78
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
35.0%
Total P&L
+$200
Trade Count
2,284
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Sortino Ratio
4.23
Max Drawdown
19.0%
ROI
3.1%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.039
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY19.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY16.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY88.0¢3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY88.0¢7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?SELL45.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢6.87Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢3.125Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY42.0¢7.75Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY42.0¢2.241Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY15.0¢2.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY15.0¢7.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?BUY13.1¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?BUY38.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%11%10–20%14%20–30%36%30–50%15%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%
Win Consistency51.6%
Profit Factor1.29
Drawdown Resilience1.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity2,284 trades · 91 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3,21310d profit81d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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