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real-hero-himmel

real-hero-himmel

0x21d5fa...4d6f93
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
46.3%
Total P&L
-$141
Trade Count
469
Sharpe Ratio
0.48
Sortino Ratio
10.00
Max Drawdown
39513.5%
ROI
-5.6%
Profit Factor
0.64
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY55.0¢10Mar 4
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY2.8¢23.5Mar 3
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY2.8¢1.235Mar 3
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY3.1¢48.4Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?SELL99.6¢25.38Mar 3
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY13.2¢10Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢33.81Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢6Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢4Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢48.95Mar 2
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY69.0¢7.98Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?BUY73.0¢10Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY9.8¢18.9Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY9.9¢30Mar 2
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY9.9¢55.84Mar 2
Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢1.042Mar 1
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY4.0¢6.19Mar 1
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY5.0¢10Mar 1
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?SELL78.0¢22.72Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%58%< 10%3%10–20%5%20–30%4%30–50%15%50–70%3%70–80%5%80–90%7%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.5%
Win Consistency31.0%
Profit Factor0.59
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity469 trades · 35 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3169d profit26d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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