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RealHias

0x148c77...e42f9d
Smart Score
82
Win Rate
29.7%
Total P&L
+$54
Trade Count
187
Sharpe Ratio
6.60
Sortino Ratio
107.72
Max Drawdown
7.5%
ROI
7.5%
Profit Factor
4.92
Kelly Fraction
0.237
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
081.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL16.0¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY20.0¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL30.0¢14.71Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSELL45.1¢4.15Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY23.9¢4.184Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSELL38.1¢6.84Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY28.9¢6.92Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSELL20.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY4.0¢25Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETSELL38.0¢9.93Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY20.0¢10Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?SELL38.0¢14.7Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL34.1¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETSELL61.0¢5Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSELL43.0¢10.05Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY49.0¢10.204Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY64.0¢7.813Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETSELL31.0¢18.33Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY27.0¢18.519Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETSELL9.0¢27.62Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%25%10–20%30%20–30%30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro81.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)74.2%
Win Consistency87.2%
Profit Factor2.12
Drawdown Resilience1.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.71
Weekly Sharpe est.1.30

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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