Retun

0x6a7a2f...3614be@pxacb94654351

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

-$87

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

641.9%

ROI

-4.0%

Profit Factor

0.17

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?	BUY	98.5¢	2.538	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	1.205	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	70.07	Mar 5
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	70.07	Mar 2
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Feb 26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	20.366	Feb 26
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	10.081	Feb 26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	20.08	Feb 26
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Feb 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	3.006	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	73.073	Feb 13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	72.999	Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	72.782	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	71.687	Feb 10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	71.403	Feb 9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	71.259	Feb 8
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	70.391	Feb 3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	70.25	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	35.185	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	35	Feb 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency55.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity49 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,1780d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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