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0x3cc933...fdcb61

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.0%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.46

Sortino Ratio

-0.54

Max Drawdown

2940.0%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

5.32

Kelly Fraction

0.455

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Raptors vs. Timberwolves	BUY	68.0¢	138.51	Mar 5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	280	Mar 5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	280	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	48.26	Mar 5
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	1,041.4	Mar 4
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	1,041.4	Mar 4
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.2¢	976	Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	976	Mar 3
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	51.0¢	337.54	Mar 2
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	941.27	Mar 2
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	941.27	Mar 2
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,122	Mar 1
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,122	Mar 1
Flames vs. Ducks	BUY	61.0¢	172.12	Feb 28
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	1,001.49	Feb 28
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	1,001.49	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.4¢	35.674	Feb 27
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.7¢	1,405	Feb 26
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.8¢	1,405	Feb 26
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,116.75	Feb 26

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency22.7%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity69 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,0430d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue